The link between climate and national security.
Climate change is causing extreme weather events and disasters, posing a major threat to the point that NATO recognizes climate change as a security threat and is taking actions to address it, including establishing a center on climate and security.
“climate change is not a stand-alone issue.” Tom Middendorp
The world’s population is expected to grow from 6.1 billion to 11 billion by the end of the century, which will increase demand for resources such as water, food, and arable land.
Climate change is further reducing the availability of resources by making some areas less habitable.
The geopolitical landscape is becoming more fragmented, with competing coalitions and power blocs. This makes it more difficult to find global solutions to problems like climate change.
What’s the potential outcome if the nexus between climate change and security is not properly addressed?
Globally: Increased competition for resources between power blocs could lead to conflicts, disrupting global supply chains.
Regionally/Nationally: Water and food insecurity due to climate change could cause internal tensions and conflicts over land and jobs. Developing countries are most vulnerable due to dependence on external resources and susceptibility to extreme weather.
Locally: More frequent extreme weather events will require adaptation of infrastructure and crisis response mechanisms.
How can security and defense potentially provide an early warning to alleviate some of the challenges associated with climate change?
Despite the daunting climate outlook, we can still find hope in proactive solutions. The security sector’s expertise in forecasting and intelligence is crucial to assess climate-related security risks and support vulnerable regions. By prioritizing adaptation – both internally through climate-proofing infrastructure and externally by aiding vulnerable nations – and embracing green technologies for self-sufficiency, the security sector can become a key player in building a more secure future in the face of climate change.
What could public-private sector collaboration look like to address some of these challenges?
The answer to future security challenges lies in collaboration. Security experts offer real-world experience to scientists, informing research that shapes diplomatic policies. This knowledge exchange is crucial. But it doesn’t stop there. To build self-sufficient capabilities for the future, a new kind of public-private partnership is needed. Defense organisations must open their doors to startups, research centers, and innovators. Imagine a space like the Netherlands’ FieldLab SmartBase, where military personnel, tech companies, and researchers work together. By merging old and new technologies, fostering risk-taking, and embracing out-of-the-box solutions, this type of collaboration is the key to unlocking future security.
At COP28, the NATO Secretary General again stressed the Alliance’s goals to reduce emissions to become net zero by 2050. What can member states do to achieve these objectives?
Transforming the defense sector for a changing climate isn’t just about new technology, it’s about a change in perspective. Member states need to prioritise integrating climate action into their defense strategies. But here’s the good news: this focus on sustainability doesn’t have to break the bank. By framing climate action as an opportunity, defense forces can leverage innovation in areas like recycling and self-sufficiency. Imagine more autonomous military units that need less logistical support – that’s the power of a climate-conscious defense sector.
Click below to read more: https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/aerospace-and-defense/our-insights/climate-change-adaptation-and-security-two-sides-of-the-same-coin
